A field team faces an unresolved physical question: Why is an 8,000-day current budget not an 8,000-day battery? They must answer it before changing nameplate energy on the real device. Predict the direction first.
See the relationship before changing it
The figure reads from left to right. The blue card is nameplate energy. The middle card applies this page's relationship. The green card is after five years. Walk the arrows once: set the input, apply the rule, then read the result with its unit.
The retained audit below checks several chapter fixtures. This added model holds every other chapter fixture fixed, so the numeric fixture does not switch without explanation.
Derive the baseline in four named moves
- 1
Name the input. The chapter baseline for nameplate energy is 2.
- 2
Name the relationship. E=2.000x3.7=7.40 Wh Five years: 0.98^60=29.8% remains Ten years: 0.98^120=8.85% remains Fresh sag: 0.008x0.15=1.20 mV Aged sag: 0.008x1.0=8.00 mV
- 3
Substitute the chapter fixture. Set nameplate energy to 2. The page ledger gives after five years as 29.8%.
- 4
Read the result. Keep % beside the value. Use it only inside the technical boundary on this page.
Predict, then change nameplate energy
Try Predict the direction of after five years. Move one control, calculate, then check your prediction.
Observe The 8,000-day figure is a load-only ceiling. Calendar chemistry can end the budget sooner even when software makes average current extremely small. Reset the control to 2 and compare after five years.
Explain Only nameplate energy moves here. The other chapter fixtures remain fixed.
Check yourself
What should you do before trusting a moved-control result?
What does this small model leave out?
1. Start with the physical story
Ampere-hours measure charge. Watt-hours measure energy, so voltage must be included. A perfect sleeping workload can still lose stored charge through chemistry each month. During a short event, internal resistance also lowers terminal voltage. These are different limits and need different equations.
2. Name every algebra move
Convert charge to energyEWh=QAh×V.
Turn a percent into retentionMonthly retention is 1−r.
Compound through timeAfter n months, remaining fraction=(1−r)^n.
Convert the ideal ceilingDivide 8,000 days by 365 days per year.
Check pulse sagΔV=I×Rint.
Check arithmetic units0.008 A×0.15 Ω=0.0012 V=1.20 mV.
3. Reproduce the chapter case
Five years: 0.98^60=29.8% remains
Ten years: 0.98^120=8.85% remains
Fresh sag: 0.008×0.15=1.20 mV
Aged sag: 0.008×1.0=8.00 mV
The legacy box multiplied both pulse-sag results by fifteen. The corrected values are 1.20 mV and 8.00 mV, not 18 mV and 120 mV. The correction strengthens the main lesson: for this small handler current, calendar loss dominates long before pulse sag does.
4. Try one real input
TryMove the control and predict which outputs should change before reading them.
ObserveA small change in monthly self-discharge compounds into a large calendar-life change. Pulse sag and one-event energy stay fixed because their electrical inputs did not move.
ExplainThe 8,000-day figure is a load-only ceiling. Calendar chemistry can end the budget sooner even when software makes average current extremely small.
This is a small formula ledger, not a complete source qualification.
- Self-discharge rate
- Real retention depends on chemistry, temperature, age, and state of charge.
- Sag model
- One resistance omits transient electrochemistry and recovery.
- Software scope
- The handler is only one contributor to system energy.
Correct, not complete: this bridge corrects the pulse arithmetic and bounds the ideal software ceiling; it does not predict a particular pack.
5. Use the result in the design
Keep the polling-versus-event comparison, but add cell retention, end-of-life resistance, cutoff voltage, sensor current, radio current, and regulator loss before promising years.
6. Record the evidence state
Keep capacity basis, nominal voltage, chemistry, storage temperature, self-discharge assumption, event waveform, internal resistance, cutoff, and the measured whole-device average.
7. Check yourself
Why multiply Ah by volts?
What was wrong in the legacy sag line?
Does 29.8% after five years predict every Li-ion cell?
The arithmetic uses the chapter's named or clearly labelled catalog-typical inputs.
- Self-discharge rate
- Real retention depends on chemistry, temperature, age, and state of charge.
- Sag model
- One resistance omits transient electrochemistry and recovery.
- Software scope
- The handler is only one contributor to system energy.
Correct, not complete: this bridge corrects the pulse arithmetic and bounds the ideal software ceiling; it does not predict a particular pack.
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